Point of divergence
What happened (actual)
Jinek et al. show Cas9 programmable DNA cleavage in vitro
Evidence · Published Science 2012; Doudna/Charpentier lineage widely cited as enabling precise editing.
Counterfactual branch
Plausibility · Addgene already distributed molecular biology tools; funders occasionally required data-sharing—extending that norm to editing reagents is administratively feasible.
Significance 10/10 — higher marks events that structurally reshape the scenario, not mere headlines.